The Economy as an Evolving Complex System IV, pp. xx–xx
DOI: 10.37911/9781947864665.02
25. Forecasting Technological Progress
Author: W. Brian Arthur, Santa Fe Institute and SRI International
Abstract
After a brief history of technological forecasting, I synthesize our work at the Institute for New Economic Thinking (INET) over the last decade developing time-series models for performance curves. I conclude with ongoing efforts and a research agenda.
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