The Political Economy of Complex Evolving Systems

30. The Political Economy of Complex Evolving Systems

Authors:
Giovanni Dosi, Scuola Superiore Sant’Anna
Marcelo C. Pereira, Universidade Estadual de Campinas and Scuola Superiore Sant’Anna
Andrea Roventini, Scuola Superiore Sant’Anna
Maria Enrica Virgillito, Scuola Superiore Sant’Anna and Universitá Cattolica del Sacro Cuore

 

Abstract

This chapter presents an application of the multisector labor-augmented Schumpeter Meeting Keynes (K+S) agent-based model to two contemporary challenges in political economy, namely declining unionization and rising inequality, with reference to medium-term evidence in the United States. What has been the effect of declining unionization? The model proves to be a promising tool to confront different scenarios emerging from the interaction of an endogenous dynamic competition between union and non-union firms, the latter arriving at a specific time. The arrival of non-union firms induces direct first-order effects, in the form of rising inequality in the workplace and at the macro level, but also indirect second-order effects, in the form of lower rates of labor absorption, and demand patterns skewed toward luxury consumption goods for the wealthy. In that, complexity economics proves to be a promising avenue to incorporate and confront the grand challenges of contemporary capitalism.

JEL Classification: J51, E02, E24, C63

Keywords: complexity, capitalism, socio-economic structure, macroevolutionary agent-based model

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