Complexity and Paradigm Change in Economics

31. Complexity and Paradigm Change in Economics

Authors:
Eric Beinhocker, University of Oxford and Santa Fe Institute
Jenna Bednar, University of Michigan and Santa Fe Institute

 

Abstract

Since the first volume in this series (Anderson, Arrow, and Pines 1988), a variety of scholars have claimed that complexity economics presents a fundamentally different and more scientifically grounded way of explaining and modeling the economy than more traditional perspectives. Looking back at over thirty-five years of development in the field, this essay argues that complexity economics is not merely an alternative and advantageous set of methods for understanding the economy but could play a critical role in the construction of a new economic paradigm. Complexity economics is part of a broader interlocking set of ideas—what we refer to as an ontological stack—that has the potential to supplant the dominant economic paradigms of the twentieth century. The development of such a paradigm would have major implications for economic policy and politics. The essay concludes with a discussion of what can be done to advance the complexity economics agenda and how such a paradigm might be developed.

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